Lie tumbling in my barefoot way

» Holiday Chocolate Contest!

Jana, owner of my favorite parenting blog and spouse of my favorite Houston-based bioinformatician, is running a blog comment contest to win free yummy chocolates. I’ve had these chocolates before, and have one thing to say about them (when I’m done chewing, of course): “Move over, Neuhaus.”

Take no survivors.

This time, it’s personal.

Our trip to Montana and Wyoming in August, 2008

» AdFreak: Then we'll grab a bite at 404 Not Found

» How Are We Doing? The American Standard of Living

» Paradigm shift on my morning commute

Pissed that I got stuck in Cross-Bronx traffic for 45 minutes at 6:30 am, that feeling was abruptly replaced with deep remorse that the wreckage I drove by resulted in a death. So cruelly random. And I just got over a mini existential crisis a few months ago….

» An Intuitive Explanation of Bayesian Reasoning

No kidding. As the title suggests, Yudkowsky, who blogs on Overcoming Bias, explains the intuition behind Bayes’ Law and its application to everyday thinking. I’ve seen many articles and presentations about Bayesian reasoning, but this one is spot on, lengthy though it might be.

» The End of Theory

Written by Chris Anderson, editor of Wired magazine. Money line:

Correlation supersedes causation, and science can advance even without coherent models, unified theories, or really any mechanistic explanation at all.

Working out on the porch